The UK has one of the highest levels of income inequality in Europe, with a sharp and sustained increase in all measures of economic inequality over the course of the 1980s. According to the Gini Coefficient, income inequality has stayed relatively flat since 2000, but other measures tell a different story.
The income gaps between richer and poorer households have been increasing in absolute terms, even if measures of relative inequality have remained stable. You can measure relative inequality itself in different ways. If we focus on the poorest 20% of households, for example, we see that incomes for this group are now no higher than they were 15 years ago, while the average household has seen its income rise 9% over this period.
The Gini coefficient hides the "runaway rise" of the richest 1%, who now take 8% of all national income (compared to 3% in 1970 and 6% in 1990). Changing the way we measure income, by factoring in housing costs or income from capital gains or inheritance, can reveal a widening disparity even over the past decade.
Wealth is far more unevenly distributed than income. From 2016 to 2018, the wealthiest 12% of households owned half of the UK�۪s wealth, while the least wealthy 30% of households held 2%. In the past decade, the wealth gap has increased. The wealthiest 10% hold �2.5m more in wealth per household than the least wealthy, a significant increase from the �1.5m gap in 2006 to 2008.
For the most part, income and wealth are tightly linked, meaning that the households most exposed to income shocks often do not have savings to fall back on. This goes some way to explain the increase in low income households turning to debt to cover essential needs - rent, food, utility bills - over the past decade.
A review by the British Academy, bringing together 200 academics and headed by the Government's chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance, argued ���failure to understand the scale of the challenge ahead and deliver changes would result in a rapid slide towards poorer societal health, more extreme patterns of inequality and fragmenting national unity.�
The IFS Deaton Review's New Year Message summarises how inequalities widened in 2020 and outlined the action needed in 2021 to address this.
Analysis published by the LSE of 18 OECD countries over the last 50 years suggests that tax cuts on the rich have not had a significant impact on unemployment or growth, while they have increased income inequality.
The Resolution Foundation has found that the first wave of furlough pushed 2 million employees below minimum wage, while 1 in 8 furloughed workers have defaulted on a payment, heralding a private debt crisis for lower-income households.
High levels of government spending on research and development for new medicines will not always lead to affordable and effective treatments.
It is widely argued that the business models and market structures of the global pharmaceutical industry do not prioritise treating chronic conditions over developing novel drugs.
This means that prohibitive prices of medicines produced can place a strain on health service budgets, particularly in low-income countries.
The lack of focus on new drug development also plays a role in the growing threat of antibiotic resistance. This is made worse by the overuse of antibiotics in many countries and in animal agriculture.
The Lancet’s Commission into Essential Medicines sets out recommendations on how to make medicines affordable and globally available. It focuses on how to ensure the affordability and quality of existing medicines and how to speed up the development of new or missing treatments.
The Institute of Innovation and Public Purpose at UCL has a report that concludes pharma companies are incentivised to set high prices and deliver short-term returns to shareholders rather than focus on riskier innovation that leads to critically needed therapeutic advances.
The New Economics Foundation and Friends of the Earth look at how a lack of effective regulation has increased the threat of antibiotic resistance.
The global spread of the Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the interconnected nature of today’s world. But the international response has not been equal, with huge differences in the capacities of high income and low income countries to control the spread of the coronavirus and to pay for vaccination programmes. The disparities have highlighted the need for a stronger system of international cooperation and equity, not just in the health field but across a range of issues.
Many of the world’s most pressing problems cannot be solved by national action alone. They include global poverty and security; climate change; the protection of the oceans; and the regulation and taxation of transnational corporations operating across national boundaries. The 17 Sustainable Development Goals, adopted at the United Nations in 2015, embody the international community’s economic, social and environmental priorities.
Over recent years international cooperation has been in decline, particularly in multilateral fora such as the United Nations and the G20. The return of great power rivalries, particularly between the US and China, along with the impact of economic weakness and Brexit on the unity and reputation of the European Union, have led to a fracturing of international relations. The UK government, for its part, has declared a new post-Brexit vision of a ‘Global Britain’, but what this should mean is not always clear.
In this context a wide range of voices have been calling for a revival of international and multilateral cooperation and for a new, positive role for the UK.
Describing the crisis faced by low-income countries, former Prime Minister Gordon Brown has called a ‘$2tn 21st-century Marshall Plan for the developing world’, including a new issuance of ‘Special Drawing Rights’ at the IMF to fund debt relief in Africa (paywalled).
In an essay for the Observer Research Foundation in India, Amrita Narlikar argues that a renewal of multilateralism will require a new ‘bargain’ to distribute the benefits of globalisation more fairly and reform of existing rules and institutions to meet new challenges.
Calling for a revival of multilateralism, an international group of former UN Secretaries-General, Presidents and Prime Ministers (known as The Elders) have set out a new agenda for international cooperation, with a particular focus on strengthening global health systems, increasing ambition on climate change, and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.
In their report Finding Britain’s Role in a Changing World, the Foreign Policy Centre and Oxfam argue that ‘Global Britain’ needs an underpinning statement of principles against which UK foreign policy can be assessed. The pledge to spend 0.7% of Gross National Income on aid must be restored.
Chatham House Director Robin Niblett argues for a new foreign policy for the UK. Rather than reincarnating itself as a miniature great power, the UK should serve as the broker of solutions to global challenges, such as promoting international peace and security, tackling climate change, and championing global tax transparency and equitable economic growth.
Taxes on finance, currencies and banking can serve a number of important purposes. They can reduce volatility in markets and reduce excessive speculative activity.
They guide towards or against particular types of financial activity ��� for example discouraging high risk parts of the industry that serve little direct social purpose, like high-frequency trading. They can also raise revenues that can be spent by the state on delivering wider economic objectives, such as a more inclusive finance system and funding the net-zero transition.
This is particularly relevant in the aftermath of an economic crisis such as that triggered by Covid-19, where the state has needed to act to prevent or minimise financial collapses.
The OECD states that Covid-19, coupled with the effects of the fall in the oil price, has led to major disruption in exchange rates and the flow of global capital.
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Professor Anat Admati argues in a paper for Economics for Inclusive Prosperity that the excessive use of debt financing in the financial system is a key cause of fragility that can be corrected through changes to the taxation of financial institutions.
The pandemic has put poorer households under great financial strain. On average, low and high income households have seen similar proportionate falls in income - but this does not mean that the pain has been equally shared. While richer households can cut back on non-essential spending and fall back on their savings, poorer households are unable to do so. Over half of adults in the poorest 20% of families have had to borrow to fund basic costs such as food or housing.
Unless action is taken, the unequal economic impact of Covid-19 will be felt well into the future. Job losses have been concentrated in the poorest households, threatening a longer-term divergence in employment chances. Many of the richest households have been able to build up their savings over the course of the crisis, further widening the gap between them and the increasingly economically insecure poor. They will use these increased savings to buy assets. Even as the economy has tanked, asset markets have remained reasonably buoyant. This divergence can in part be explained by the wealth gap because the asset-owning class has been least affected by the crisis and in part because of policy decisions that protect financial markets, even at the expense of the real economy.
Poorer households have also seen far worse health outcomes than the well-off. In part, this is because they are less likely to be able to work from home and are therefore more exposed to the virus. It is no small irony that the UK’s “key workers” earn, on average, 8% less than the median wage, reflecting in part the freeze on public sector pay under austerity and persistently low pay in sectors such as social care. At the same time, the UK’s high levels of economic inequality have given rise to wide health inequalities, which the Marmot Review found to have widened since 2010. One consequence of this is that the Covid-19 death rate in the most deprived parts of the country is double that of the most well-off.
Standard Life Foundation have launched a Coronavirus Financial Impact Tracker to monitor the economic effects of the pandemic on people’s finances.
Analysis from NEF has found that inequality in the UK has increased since the start of the pandemic. It finds that the poorest half of households are on average £110 worse off per year, while the top 5% have gained £3,300 on average.
Research by Citizens Advice has found that 6 million UK adults have fallen behind on at least one household bill during the pandemic, with those at the sharpest end of the labour market hit hardest.
The Health Foundation has warned of "rising health inequalities due to pandemic" - their research shows that poorer areas are more likely to have higher Covid-19 death rates.
Even before Covid-19, the multiple crises experienced by western economies over the last decade and more – the financial crash, the climate emergency and rising inequality – have led some commentators to ask whether a new ‘economic paradigm’ may be in the making.
An economic paradigm is the framework of economic theories, policies and narratives which come to define a particular era. In the 20th century two major periods of economic crisis led to changes in the dominant paradigm. Old economic orthodoxies proved unable to provide solutions, and new economic theories and policies took their place.
In the 1940s, following the Wall Street crash of 1929 and the Great Depression of the 1930s, Keynesian economics replaced the previous orthodoxy of ‘laissez faire’, leading to the ‘post-war consensus’ of full employment and the welfare state. In the 1980s, following the economic crises of the 1970s, free market economics became the new orthodoxy. But free market economics seems to have caused the crises we have recently experienced, and to offer little by way of solutions. Is another ‘paradigm shift’ due?
Explaining the origins of the idea of economic paradigms, Laurie Laybourn-Langton and Michael Jacobs describe the paradigm changes of the 20th century. Analysing how the free market revolution was organised, they suggest that comparable conditions exist today.
Martin Jacques traces the political impact of the financial crash of 2008 and argues that it will lead to the end of the free market or ‘neoliberal’ era.
Economist Laurie Macfarlane and colleagues set out how economic theory and policy can be categorised in terms of ‘orthodox’, ‘modified’ and ‘alternative’ paradigms, and survey how economic thinking has been changing in major economic institutions such as the OECD and World Bank.
Political economists Will Davies and Nicholas Gane explain how the political right’s reactions to the covid-19 pandemic could signal a break with neoliberal orthodoxy ”and, in particular, from their overriding concern for the market”.
Laurie Laybourn-Langton explained why the emergency responses taken during the Covid-19 pandemic constitute an "unprecedented break from the norms and practice of the prevailing political-economic paradigm" and reflects on the strategies required for a paradigm shift in an age of coronavirus and environmental breakdown.
In the quarter of a century since 1996, UK house prices have risen 161%: from around 4.5 times average household income then to around 8 times now. In 2018 renters spent 33% of their household income on rent, rising to 40% in London.
Affordability is a nationwide problem, with rural areas having a higher ‘affordability gap’ than urban areas. It is particularly acute in England, where in 2017 new build homes were unaffordable to 84% of renting families.
Unaffordable housing is linked to a sharp fall in home ownership, especially among young people and families with children, and to an increase in homelessness. Prior to the pandemic, the number of rough sleepers had more than doubled since 2010.
It is now estimated that more than 8m people in England – around 1 in 7 – are living in an unaffordable, insecure or unsuitable home. A range of different types and tenure of housing are needed – not just homes to buy, but better and more affordable social and privately-rented accommodation.
The National Housing Federation has conducted a ‘state of the nation’ assessment of the housing crisis, finding high house prices and rents, unsuitable or poor quality homes, and the overall shortage of new homes. It reveals that more than 3.6m people are living in overcrowded homes, 2.5m people can’t afford their rent or mortgage and another 2.5m adults are stuck living with parents, an ex-partner, or friends because they can’t afford to move out.
The housing charity Shelter analyses the particularly acute housing crisis in London, where rising private rents and a fall in the number of social homes has left tens of thousands of families struggling with unaffordable and insecure housing, and nearly 1 in 50 adults now homeless.
The Commission on Housing and Wellbeing analysed the need for a new approach to housing in Scotland, showing how better homes could contribute to improving neighbourhood and community, economic wellbeing, health and education and environmental sustainability.
People born outside the UK make up an estimated 14% of the UK’s population, or 9.5 million people, and just over half of BME residents of the UK were born overseas. Tackling racial inequality is therefore closely connected to improving the economic position of migrants to the UK. Discriminatory practices can particularly affect migrants, and public attitudes to immigration have impacts on the wider BME community.
Covid-19 has highlighted both the positive contribution migrants make to society and the challenges they face. Migrants are disproportionately likely to work in 'key worker' jobs. Notably, around 20% of care workers are foreign nationals, the majority from outside the EU. Many of these roles are low paid.
Migrants often have restricted access to public services and financial support. Many effectively pay twice for NHS care, required to pay an NHS surcharge as well as their taxes. They face significant barriers to care despite their disproportionate contribution to the UK's health and care systems.
In its report Access Denied: The Human Impact of the Hostile Environment IPPR provides a survey of the impact of the UK’s approach to migration on wider racial discrimination, housing, health, and vulnerability to violence.
The Women’s Budget Group analyses the effects of the pandemic on migrants and call for the end of the 'no recourse to public funds' policy, which prevents many migrants from accessing social security benefits.
The Joint Council for the Welfare of Immigrants (JCWI) has examined the lives of undocumented people in the UK and proposed a range of reforms that could break the cycle of insecure immigration status.
IPPR’s Marley Morris and Shreya Nanda published a report calling for reform to the system of charging migrants for healthcare. The report highlights the adverse impacts of the NHS charging system and draws on best practice from other European countries that have fairer systems for residents without immigration status.
The House of Commons Library has published data on UK asylum applications. In 2020, there were around 6 asylum applications for every 10,000 people living in the UK, compared with 11 across the EU. Polly Toynbee in the Guardian sets out the wider picture.
A key component of new economic thinking has been around the issue of economic growth. Critics of orthodox economic theory and policy have argued that the overwhelming focus on achieving growth of GDP is at the root of our environmental and social crises. Current patterns of economic growth are environmentally unsustainable and do not generate individual or social wellbeing.
These critics seek to replace GDP as the principal measure of an economy’s success. Most seek to define a broader goal of ‘wellbeing’, and alternative indicators to measure it. A number of international institutions have adopted the goal of ‘green growth’ or ‘inclusive growth’, often within the overall framework of ‘sustainable development’.
A more radical critique argues for ‘degrowth’: that environmental sustainability demands an overall contraction of production and consumption in western economies. Others propose the ideas of ‘post-growth’ or ‘beyond growth’, arguing for a direct focus of policy on the achievement of environmental and social objectives.
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The introduction of Universal Credit in 2013 replaced a number of separate working-age benefit schemes. The stated aim was to simplify the system and to avoid a 'cliff edge' whereby recipients would lose money if they found work - 'making work pay' and smoothing moves in and out of the labour market.
Since then, Universal Credit has been widely criticised, both before and during the pandemic. Targets for criticism include its bureaucracy, its low rates, the 'two child' limit for child support, the delay in receiving the first payment, the harsh nature of its sanctions, and the distribution of benefits at a household, not individual, level - which increases the risk of financial abuse, especially for women.
While some argue for reforms to Universal Credit to address these issues, others call for it to be scrapped altogether due to objections to its core principles (e.g. conditionality and means-testing). One far-reaching reform would be the establishment of a 'Minimum Income Guarantee' - which would set a ‘living income’ floor below which no household would fall and could be implemented within the Universal Credit system.
NB Some households are still on the ‘legacy’ system of benefits. The Government expects all households to have ‘migrated’ to Universal Credit by September 2024.
The cross-party House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee’s report Universal Credit isn’t working: proposals for reform is a comprehensive overview of the problems with UC. It argues that UC has “undermined the security and wellbeing of the poorest in our society” and outlines a suite of recommendations to improve the system.
IPPR examines the prevalence of poverty among working families and argues for greater priority to be given to bringing down the high costs of housing, childcare and other essential goods as a proportion of household income, as well as reforms to genuinely ‘make work pay’.
The New Economics Foundation's Living Income campaign finds that, without a change in policy, by 2022 almost a third of the UK population (over 21 million people) will be living below a needs-based ‘minimum income standard’. NEF calls for a new approach to social security, including a Minimum Income Guarantee of £221 per week. The Child Poverty Action Group has similarly proposed a minimum income guarantee in Scotland.
The Fabian Society’s year-long study of public attitudes to welfare used surveys and a citizen’s jury to identify a public consensus for additional social security payments totalling around £10 billion, as well as the retention of the £20-a-week Universal Credit uplift introduced during the pandemic.