Covid-19 vaccination programmes in most low-income countries have been proceeding much more slowly than in richer countries. This is both because of lack of finance, and because most of the available supply has been bought by the global North. It is generally accepted that the pandemic will only end when almost everyone in the world is vaccinated, since without this there will be a high risk of new variants being transmitted across borders. Universal vaccination will also hasten global economic recovery. But in practice ‘vaccine nationalism’ has so far dominated.
A global scheme for vaccine distribution, Covax, has been established, and high income countries have pledged money and vaccines to it. But both finance and supply are running well behind demand.
Many proposals for reform focus on the dominant private sector-led model of vaccine development and supply, which it is argued puts profit and the retention of intellectual property rights ahead of meeting human need. New international frameworks for financing and developing vaccines, medicines and health services in the global South have been proposed.
Olivier Wouter and colleagues in The Lancet review the challenges of producing affordable global vaccines at scale, warning that the lack of a global approach to vaccine allocation by national governments is both an economic and ethical failure.
The People’s Vaccine Alliance is calling for public funding for research and development to be conditional on research institutions and pharmaceutical companies freely sharing all, data, biological material and intellectual property, and all vaccines priced at cost.
A blog from the IMF head Kristalina Georgieva and others outlined A Proposal to End the COVID-19 Pandemic, setting out targets to vaccinate at least 40% of the global population by 2021 with estimates of financing requirements; through upfront grants to COVAX, investing in additional vaccine production capacity and test and tracing capabilities.
Analysing how the pharmaceutical industry currently develops new drugs and health treatments, the UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose propose a new health innovation model which would reward public investment, keep prices low and therefore support more equal global access to healthcare.
The World Health Organisation describes the aspiration for universal health coverage (UHC), giving all individuals and communities the health services they need without suffering financial hardship. Writing in Nature Medicine, Stéphane Verguet and colleagues propose how this can be achieved in low and middle income countries.
Covid-19 has exposed the lack of effective collaboration on vaccine development and distribution, notably by richer governments.
Large rich countries are prioritising the development of vaccines for their own populations first, underfunding and potentially undermining global coordination efforts.
The UN’s attempt to set up an information pooling scheme to share intellectual property around vaccines has been strongly resisted by the pharmaceutical industry.
The Wellcome Trust draws four lessons from past epidemics to guide the search for Covid-19 treatments and vaccines. It cites global coordination as critical.
The World Economic Forum warns that of the four billion Covid-19 vaccines that the world will need, only a few hundred million could be delivered to non-G7 nations in a "best case" scenario.
The Centre for European Policy Studies recommends compulsory licensing for future Covid-19 vaccines whereby other manufacturers would be able to produce generic versions in low or middle income countries.
International cooperation is vital in the race to develop and distribute a safe, effective, affordable, and globally available Covid-19 vaccine.
Despite calls from low-income countries for greater levels of coordination, most rich countries are choosing to largely go it alone in the pursuit of Covid-19 vaccines that will serve their own populations first.
Governments are being urged to increase existing commitments to multilateral funding for international vaccine development, to prioritise cooperation through bodies such as the World Health Organisation, and to prioritise investing in global manufacturing capacity to ensure vaccines get to those that need them the most.
Coordinated by UNAIDS, more than 140 world leaders and experts signed an open letter calling for a "people’s vaccine" against Covid. They call for international action to ensure that all vaccines, treatments and tests for Covid-19 be patent-free, mass produced, distributed fairly and made available to all people free of charge.
The Centre for European Policy Studies recommends compulsory licensing for future Covid-19 vaccines whereby other manufacturers would be able to produce generic versions in low or middle income countries.
The OECD makes a series of recommendations for delivering worldwide vaccinations at scale, including investing now in scaling up manufacturing capacity.
Proposals for Universal Basic Services take the principles underlying the NHS - the universal provision of healthcare, free at the point of need - and argue these should be applied to a wider range of public services, such as transport, shelter, food and information (e.g. Internet access).
UBS is often contrasted to UBI (above). While the two proposals are not diametrically opposed, the difference in focus leaves room for disagreement. Some UBS supporters argue, for instance, that the best way to spend our resources and political capital in ensuring people’s core needs are met is in the radical expansion of public services, and that unconditional cash transfers would not achieve the same uplift in living standards.
Conversely, while many progressive proponents of UBI support wider and improved provision of public services - e.g. health, social care, education, information - they take issue with some proposed universal basic services (e.g. food provision) and argue that cash transfers are a more efficient, less paternalistic route to ensuring some basic needs are met.
A comprehensive case for Universal Basic Services can be found in the UCL Institute for Global Prosperity’s (IGP) literature review on the theory and practice of UBS (2019). The review builds on the Institute’s original 2017 proposal, generally regarded as the first articulation of UBS.
The idea of Universal Basic Services is now widely becoming known as the 'Social Guarantee'. A new group of that name is coordinating information and campaigning in the UK, and has gathered together a range of papers by Anna Coote and others setting out and analysing the proposal.
Henrietta Moore, founder and director of the Institute for Global Prosperity, writes on how UBS could invigorate local economies in the context of Covid-19 and the work IGP has been doing with local authorities in this area.
Professor Guy Standing argues against the idea that Universal Basic Services are an alternative to UBI, engaging with a number of arguments that UBS supporters make against Basic Income.
UBS supporter Anna Coote and UBI supporter Barb Jacobson debate the merits of their proposals with Ayeisha Thomas-Smith for the NEF podcast.
The proposal for a Universal Basic Income (UBI) is that all adults should receive a regular cash payment without means-testing or a requirement to work.
Supporters of UBI argue that it would simplify the social security system, reducing the bureaucracy, intrusiveness and stigma associated with claiming means-tested and conditional benefits. It would recognise and reward valuable unpaid work (such as care work and voluntary work) and would force up the quality and pay of currently low-paid jobs in order to make them attractive enough for people to do. Supporters often argue that automation will make full employment impossible, so a UBI would ensure everyone had at least a subsistence income.
Critics of UBI question the administrative cost of providing payments to every adult citizen. The government revenue needed to provide such payments would be substantial, requiring higher taxes; many recipients would effectively have the entire benefit taxed back. There would still need to be other benefits (possibly means-tested) for children and special needs such as disability. A UBI, critics argue, might also reduce incentives to work.
There are significant differences between various UBI proposals, for example concerning the size of the payment and the extent to which it would replace existing social security benefits. There are no examples of UBI being implemented at a national state level, but a number of trials and experiments are currently under way in different parts of the world.
The House of Commons Library’s research briefing on “The introduction of a basic income” (Oct 2020) offers an overview of the debate around introducing a basic income in the UK, highlighting research from the University of Bath as the most detailed work on what a UBI scheme in a British context would look like.
Economist Guy Standing outlined the moral and practical case for “Basic Income as Common Dividends” (2019) in his independent report to the Shadow Chancellor on piloting a basic income scheme in the UK.
A policy paper for the Women’s Budget Group Commission for a Gender-Equal Economy examines the pros and cons of basic income from a feminist perspective, and reviews recent proposals in this area.
The Basic Income Earth Network (BIEN) website features the latest news and research from supporters of UBI around the world. The Basic Income Conversation provides regular information on UBI campaigning and pilots in the UK.
The Liberal Democrats and the Green Party are both committed in principle to a UBI, and in October 2020 a cross-party group of over 500 parliamentarians and councillors wrote to the Government calling for UBI trials.
The New Economics Foundation’s Anna Coote offers a critique of UBI from a progressive perspective, and argues that Universal Basic Services (below) would be a better route to radical social security reform, while Harvard political theorist Alyssa Battastoni wrote for Dissent on the “false promise” of UBI for radicals.
Since the 1970s, in common with many other countries, the UK has seen a declining share of national income go to wages and salaries and a rising proportion returned to the owners of capital and assets. This period has coincided with a dramatic fall in trade union membership.
Many economists argue that the two are closely connected. Through collective bargaining, trade unions are able to raise workers’ wages and to improve their working conditions. Where unions are absent, employers have greater relative power.
This recognition has led to calls for a revival of trade unionism and of collective bargaining. In a more fragmented workforce where many workers are now self-employed or on precarious contracts this is difficult, but many trade unions have been finding ways to organise insecure workers.
The New Economics Foundation and the University of Greenwich have set out the economic case for trade unions, demonstrating the relationship between wage levels and union membership.
The TUC has called for a series of reforms to make it easier for workers to negotiate collectively with their employer, and to broaden the scope of collective bargaining rights to include all pay and conditions, including working time and holidays and equality issues.
Arguing that stronger trade unions can boost productivity, particularly when the fruits of automation need to be more fairly shared, IPPR argues for easier statutory recognition to enable firm-level collective bargaining, accompanied by sectoral collective bargaining in low-paid sectors.
In Work in 2021: A Tale of Two Economies the Centre for Labour and Social Studies (CLASS) brings together analysis of ONS data, interviews with trade union reps and a survey to paint a picture of workers’ differentiated experiences of the pandemic and how they are organising in response.
One of the most insistent criticisms of trade agreements has been in relation to their impacts on the environment. International trade is of its nature carbon-generating, as goods are transported around the world. But trade agreements can also open up new markets for commodities produced in unsustainable ways, from fish to palm oil, tropical timber to cement.
Many people therefore argue that environmental protection should be a core principle of trade agreements. Indeed, trade deals could be a powerful mechanism to promote stronger commitments on climate change or biodiversity conservation, rather than weaker ones.
One proposal gaining increased attention is for ‘border carbon adjustment’. This would enable countries with strong climate policies to impose tariffs on imports of goods from countries with lower standards. This would ensure that trade did not become a ‘race to the bottom’ in which lower standards were effectively incentivised. But many developing countries are worried that any such border tax could simply turn into a form of trade protectionism which froze them out of developed country markets.
The UK Trade Policy Observatory has set out how UK trade and climate policy need to be brought together if trade agreements are to contribute to the UK’s climate objectives.
Common Wealth proposes a series of measures to put trade policy at the service of delivering climate justice, as part of a Green New Deal.
A report from the International Energy Agency found the mineral supplies for electric cars “must increase 30-fold” to meet global climate targets. Carbon Brief summarised the report to communicate the scale of the challenge ahead and what needs to be done to prevent a mineral ‘bottleneck’ stifling the clean energy transition.
The Centre for European Reform’s Sam Lowe explains how an EU border carbon adjustment policy might work, and its benefits and costs.
Emerging economies expressed a ‘grace concern’ over the EU’s plans for a carbon border tax, which supporters argue is necessary to avoid carbon leakage but critics argue amounts to “protectionism disguised as climate action which will damage the economies of countries poorer than the EU”.
Leaving the EU means the UK needs to negotiate many new trade agreements – indeed the freedom to do so was one of the main arguments used in favour of Brexit.
Trade deals are no longer only, or even mainly, about reducing tariffs. They primarily focus now on reducing other ‘barriers to trade’, for example by aligning national regulations in areas such as product standards, professional qualifications and environmental protections.
Trade deal proposals are therefore often highly controversial, with many fearing they will lead to a lowering of existing standards and protections. The UK’s early discussions with the US around a post-Brexit deal were a case in point, with warnings that it would lead to the arrival of chlorinated chicken on UK shelves or the risk of further privatisation in the NHS.
One of the elements of trade agreements which has led to particular opposition is the widespread use of ‘Investor-State Dispute Settlement’ (ISDS). This is a mechanism under which a company from one signatory state investing in another can argue that new laws or regulations could negatively affect its expected profits or investment potential, and seek compensation in a binding (and often secret) arbitration tribunal. This effectively elevates the rights of corporations above a country’s democratic right to decide its own laws.
Economist Dani Rodrick shows how recent developments in trade agreements have focused on national regulations, intellectual property and labour and environmental laws. He argues for a new global trade paradigm that prioritises national prosperity and ‘peaceful economic coexistence’ between nations.
The Trade Justice Network describes the principal issues involved in recent and proposed trade deals, including those between the UK and EU, and UK and US.
War on Want explores the UK’s trade policies with countries in the global South, calling for agreements that will allow low-income countries to support their own industries and economies.
The ISDS Platform sets out how Investor State Dispute Settlement mechanisms work.
The International Institute for Environment and Development produced a report explaining how ISDS could increase the public cost of climate action.
The Corporate Europe Observatory and Transnational Institute explain the little-known Energy Charter Treaty, which allows energy companies to sue governments for changes in energy policy which might lose them money, including policies supporting renewable energy.
The pandemic has sharpened the pre-existing economic disparity between men and women. Women are more likely to have lost work and income. They are more likely to work in low-paid, insecure frontline roles. In many of the sectors that have suffered most - retail, hospitality, tourism - women are over-represented.
During the pandemic women have continued to do more unpaid domestic and care work than men. During school closures, for instance, 70% of mothers reported being completely or mostly responsible for homeschooling, and mothers were 50% more likely to be interrupted during paid work hours. Covid disproportionately affected women’s mental health.
Covid lockdowns also sharply increased the incidence of domestic violence. Low income and migrant status both significantly increase women’s vulnerability to domestic abuse, underlining the need for policymakers to understand how gender intersects with other axes of inequality.
The Fawcett Society has collated evidence on the social and economic impacts of Covid-19 on women and how these have intersected with other axes of inequality.
A 2020 survey of 19,950 mothers by campaign group Pregnant Then Screwed found significant employer discrimination against mothers. 15% of mothers had been or were expecting to be made redundant during the pandemic, nearly half of whom said that lack of childcare provision played a role in their redundancy.
The Women’s Budget Group has published an analysis of the gender differences in access to coronavirus government support schemes, finding women more likely to be furloughed than men, and young women aged 18-25 were the largest group furloughed by age and gender.
Looking towards the critical UN climate conference COP26 in Glasgow in November, the UK government published its ‘10-point plan for a green industrial revolution’ at the end of 2020.
It pledges to mobilise £12 billion of government investment, and potentially three times as much from the private sector, to create and support up to 250,000 green jobs.
The ten areas of focus are offshore wind, low carbon hydrogen, nuclear power, zero emission vehicles, green public transport, ‘jet zero’ and green ships, greener buildings, carbon capture, usage and storage, protection of the natural environment and green finance and innovation.
While some aspects of the plan were welcomed by environmental groups, others criticised it for vagueness and for failing to clarify how the UK would achieve its statutory emissions reduction targets, including its commitment to ‘net zero’ emissions by 2050.
The Government’s green industrial revolution document set out its plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while creating jobs and supporting UK exports of green technologies and services.
Carbon Brief compiled responses to the plan from a variety of organisations and media outlets.
The government’s statutory advisory body the Climate Change Committee has published its recommendations for the UK’s ‘6th carbon budget’, showing how emissions could be reduced by 79% over 1990 levels by 2035.
The TUC ranked the green recovery plans of all G7 countries, finding that the UK came in 6th with the Treasury investing 6% of that pledged by the US and 13% of that promised by Italy on green jobs and recovery (£180 invested per person compared to £2,960 in the US and £1,390 in Italy). The TUC’s analysis estimates current UK green infrastructure investment potentially creating 44,000 green jobs over the next ten years. This could increase to 721,000 green jobs over the next ten years if the UK matched the ambition set by the US.